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Davenport, Day 2.5

Final Results

Normalized Scores

12-00Z 00-12Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Andrew Ansorge 0.81 -1.06 -1.29 0.14 -0.17 -0.64 -0.37
Jon Hobbs -0.59 -0.14 0.26 -0.29 0.00 0.48 -0.05
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Consensus MOS 0.00 -0.72 0.26 -0.36 0.91 0.00 0.01
Eta/GFS MOS -0.22 1.49 0.26 -0.07 0.97 0.16 0.43
National Weather Service 0.29 -1.59 1.03 0.86 0.91 1.77 0.55
Eta MOS -0.55 0.29 2.06 -0.65 3.19 -0.32 0.67
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.29 -0.53 0.77 2.23 0.80 -0.16 0.73
GFS MOS 1.73 0.67 0.00 1.51 0.51 0.80 0.87
GFS Extended MOS 2.35 -1.68 -1.29 1.72 1.82 2.57 0.92


Raw Squared Error

12-00Z 00-12Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Andrew Ansorge 190 164 14 30 169 6
Jon Hobbs 152 183 20 24 172 13
Average 168 186 19 28 172 10
Consensus MOS 168 171 20 23 188 10
Eta/GFS MOS 162 217 20 27 189 11
National Weather Service 176 153 23 40 188 21
Eta MOS 153 192 27 19 228 8
GFS Ensemble MOS 203 175 22 59 186 9
GFS MOS 215 200 19 49 181 15
GFS Extended MOS 232 151 14 52 204 26