 |
|
|
Marshalltown, Day 1
Charles City, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| National Weather Service |
-1.04 |
-0.78 |
-0.14 |
-0.91 |
-1.36 |
-0.53 |
-0.80 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.31 |
-0.04 |
-0.29 |
-0.49 |
-0.64 |
0.00 |
-0.29 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
0.55 |
0.82 |
0.00 |
1.35 |
0.49 |
-0.80 |
0.40 |
| GFS MOS |
0.50 |
1.07 |
1.16 |
-0.25 |
0.75 |
-0.40 |
0.47 |
| Consensus MOS |
1.03 |
0.99 |
0.43 |
0.57 |
0.75 |
-0.40 |
0.56 |
| NAM MOS |
1.68 |
-0.29 |
-0.29 |
0.28 |
1.80 |
2.27 |
0.91 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.94 |
2.38 |
2.61 |
2.13 |
-0.55 |
-0.80 |
1.28 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| National Weather Service |
52 |
87 |
2 |
113 |
155 |
6 |
| Jon Hobbs |
97 |
105 |
1 |
156 |
180 |
10 |
| Average |
116 |
106 |
3 |
206 |
202 |
10 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
150 |
126 |
3 |
343 |
219 |
4 |
| GFS MOS |
147 |
132 |
11 |
181 |
228 |
7 |
| Consensus MOS |
179 |
130 |
6 |
264 |
228 |
7 |
| NAM MOS |
219 |
99 |
1 |
234 |
264 |
27 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
235 |
164 |
21 |
423 |
183 |
4 |
|
