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Iowa City, Day 5

Fairfield, Day 5

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
Jon Hobbs 0.06 0.00 -0.61 -0.45 -0.25
National Weather Service -0.15 0.00 -0.33 -0.28 -0.19
Nick Carletta 0.51 -0.45 -0.13 -0.39 -0.11
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
GFS Extended MOS 0.48 0.67 -0.51 -0.28 0.09
Consensus MOS 1.48 1.87 1.05 1.07 1.36
GFS Ensemble MOS 2.62 2.09 2.13 2.20 2.26


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
Jon Hobbs 155 24 744 17
National Weather Service 148 24 776 20
Nick Carletta 170 18 800 18
Average 153 24 815 25
GFS Extended MOS 169 33 756 20
Consensus MOS 202 49 937 44
GFS Ensemble MOS 240 52 1063 64