 |
|
|
Cedar Rapids, Day 1
Charles City, Day 1
Fairfield, Day 1
Keokuk, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| GFS MOS |
-0.46 |
-0.10 |
0.72 |
0.27 |
-0.91 |
-0.29 |
-0.13 |
| Jon Hobbs |
1.49 |
-1.63 |
-1.36 |
-0.09 |
1.13 |
-0.26 |
-0.12 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.17 |
0.20 |
0.40 |
-0.02 |
0.16 |
0.13 |
0.12 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
0.02 |
0.25 |
0.80 |
0.19 |
0.00 |
-0.26 |
0.17 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.29 |
0.82 |
1.04 |
-0.01 |
0.17 |
0.11 |
0.31 |
| Eta MOS |
2.17 |
0.22 |
0.64 |
2.30 |
1.10 |
-0.26 |
1.03 |
| National Weather Service |
0.55 |
0.16 |
1.76 |
0.29 |
2.49 |
1.15 |
1.07 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.84 |
2.24 |
2.08 |
2.37 |
1.32 |
2.72 |
2.09 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| GFS MOS |
320 |
795 |
125 |
273 |
404 |
41 |
| Jon Hobbs |
493 |
691 |
99 |
240 |
534 |
42 |
| Average |
361 |
802 |
116 |
248 |
462 |
54 |
| Consensus MOS |
346 |
816 |
121 |
246 |
472 |
60 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
363 |
819 |
126 |
265 |
462 |
42 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
335 |
858 |
129 |
247 |
473 |
59 |
| Eta MOS |
554 |
817 |
124 |
457 |
532 |
42 |
| National Weather Service |
410 |
813 |
138 |
274 |
621 |
106 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
524 |
955 |
142 |
464 |
546 |
177 |
|
