 |
|
|
Ames, Day 2.5
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
12-00Z |
00-12Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
|
Overall
|
| Chris Schaffer |
90.9 |
73.1 |
80.0 |
81.3 |
68.9 |
77.3 |
|
78.58 |
| Jon Hobbs |
64.0 |
82.4 |
90.7 |
83.5 |
74.3 |
77.3 |
|
78.70 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
90.5 |
79.2 |
80.0 |
76.9 |
80.4 |
78.6 |
|
80.94 |
| Eta MOS |
89.3 |
75.5 |
80.0 |
83.1 |
82.5 |
82.7 |
|
82.19 |
| GFS MOS |
92.1 |
88.5 |
90.7 |
78.3 |
82.2 |
78.6 |
|
85.06 |
| Consensus MOS |
88.6 |
84.1 |
90.7 |
80.0 |
85.7 |
85.4 |
|
85.75 |
| National Weather Service |
78.1 |
88.9 |
108.5 |
94.4 |
78.6 |
82.7 |
|
88.53 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
84.3 |
89.3 |
101.4 |
91.8 |
85.4 |
84.1 |
|
89.38 |
| Justin Wittrock |
87.0 |
112.5 |
101.4 |
113.1 |
68.9 |
78.6 |
|
93.59 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
106.5 |
84.1 |
80.0 |
83.1 |
107.6 |
114.1 |
|
95.88 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Chris Schaffer |
102 |
52 |
2 |
98 |
16 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
33 |
75 |
5 |
103 |
31 |
0 |
| Average |
74 |
69 |
2 |
95 |
47 |
2 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
101 |
67 |
2 |
88 |
48 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
98 |
58 |
2 |
102 |
54 |
4 |
| GFS MOS |
105 |
90 |
5 |
91 |
53 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
96 |
79 |
5 |
95 |
63 |
6 |
| National Weather Service |
69 |
91 |
10 |
128 |
43 |
4 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
85 |
92 |
8 |
122 |
62 |
5 |
| Justin Wittrock |
92 |
149 |
8 |
171 |
16 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
142 |
79 |
2 |
102 |
124 |
27 |
|
