 |
|
|
Ottumwa, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.52 |
-1.26 |
0.00 |
0.43 |
-0.69 |
0.86 |
-0.02 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.87 |
-1.18 |
-0.31 |
-0.30 |
-0.06 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.02 |
0.84 |
0.00 |
0.22 |
-0.13 |
-0.86 |
0.01 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.71 |
-0.08 |
1.54 |
0.94 |
-1.82 |
1.72 |
0.26 |
| National Weather Service |
0.57 |
-0.08 |
0.00 |
0.76 |
0.82 |
1.72 |
0.63 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.17 |
1.26 |
1.23 |
0.59 |
0.50 |
1.72 |
0.86 |
| NAM MOS |
2.14 |
1.34 |
2.46 |
2.97 |
1.51 |
0.00 |
1.74 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Jon Hobbs |
64 |
110 |
6 |
112 |
85 |
2 |
| Average |
42 |
125 |
6 |
96 |
96 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
121 |
111 |
5 |
85 |
95 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
41 |
135 |
6 |
104 |
94 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
12 |
124 |
11 |
131 |
67 |
3 |
| National Weather Service |
66 |
124 |
6 |
124 |
109 |
3 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
35 |
140 |
10 |
118 |
104 |
3 |
| NAM MOS |
132 |
141 |
14 |
206 |
120 |
1 |
|
