 |
|
|
Dubuque, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.02 |
-0.90 |
-1.12 |
0.05 |
-0.79 |
-0.34 |
-0.52 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.19 |
-0.90 |
-1.40 |
0.68 |
-0.53 |
-0.34 |
-0.45 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.19 |
0.85 |
-1.12 |
-0.07 |
-0.66 |
-0.34 |
-0.25 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.02 |
-0.73 |
0.00 |
-0.15 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.14 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
-0.13 |
0.11 |
0.00 |
0.07 |
0.66 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
| National Weather Service |
0.17 |
1.92 |
-1.12 |
-0.10 |
-0.07 |
0.34 |
0.19 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.69 |
-1.58 |
0.00 |
0.71 |
-0.33 |
0.00 |
0.25 |
| NGM MOS |
1.90 |
0.06 |
0.28 |
3.13 |
1.38 |
0.34 |
1.18 |
| Eta MOS |
0.29 |
0.17 |
1.96 |
-0.05 |
2.37 |
3.03 |
1.29 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| GFS Extended MOS |
24 |
166 |
6 |
70 |
16 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
16 |
166 |
5 |
107 |
20 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
16 |
197 |
6 |
63 |
18 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
26 |
169 |
10 |
58 |
28 |
1 |
| Average |
25 |
182 |
10 |
67 |
28 |
1 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
19 |
184 |
10 |
71 |
38 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
33 |
216 |
6 |
61 |
27 |
2 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
154 |
154 |
10 |
109 |
23 |
1 |
| NGM MOS |
116 |
183 |
11 |
251 |
49 |
2 |
| Eta MOS |
39 |
185 |
17 |
64 |
64 |
10 |
|
