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Burlington, Day 7/6/5/4

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
National Weather Service 0.17 0.23 -1.48 -0.39 -0.37
Andrew Ansorge -0.87 1.17 -0.61 -0.43 -0.19
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Hobbs -0.75 0.59 0.02 0.17 0.01
Consensus MOS 0.26 -1.11 1.29 1.48 0.48
GFS Extended MOS 1.03 -0.36 1.16 0.65 0.62
GFS Ensemble MOS 0.79 -1.49 1.35 1.87 0.63
Eric Mykleby 2.22 1.30 0.14 -1.09 0.64


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
National Weather Service 621 249 134 16
Andrew Ansorge 542 294 222 15
Average 608 238 283 25
Jon Hobbs 551 266 285 29
Consensus MOS 628 185 413 59
GFS Extended MOS 686 221 399 40
GFS Ensemble MOS 668 167 419 68
Eric Mykleby 776 300 297 0