 |
|
|
Ames, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Jeff Duda |
-1.22 |
-1.33 |
2.05 |
-0.36 |
-0.58 |
0.63 |
-0.13 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
1.35 |
-0.10 |
0.00 |
0.88 |
-1.47 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
| GFS MOS |
0.32 |
0.71 |
0.51 |
1.39 |
-1.63 |
0.00 |
0.22 |
| NAM MOS |
0.26 |
-1.12 |
0.00 |
1.65 |
0.63 |
0.00 |
0.24 |
| Chris Schaffer |
0.83 |
1.53 |
1.03 |
-1.29 |
0.84 |
0.00 |
0.49 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.77 |
0.10 |
2.05 |
-0.05 |
0.26 |
1.88 |
0.58 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.61 |
0.41 |
1.54 |
0.52 |
-1.47 |
1.88 |
0.75 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-1.03 |
0.46 |
2.57 |
0.00 |
1.00 |
2.51 |
0.92 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.09 |
1.83 |
2.05 |
1.91 |
-0.63 |
0.00 |
1.04 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Jeff Duda |
96 |
42 |
5 |
65 |
81 |
3 |
| Average |
115 |
68 |
1 |
72 |
92 |
2 |
| Consensus MOS |
136 |
66 |
1 |
89 |
64 |
2 |
| GFS MOS |
120 |
82 |
2 |
99 |
61 |
2 |
| NAM MOS |
119 |
46 |
1 |
104 |
104 |
2 |
| Chris Schaffer |
128 |
98 |
3 |
47 |
108 |
2 |
| National Weather Service |
103 |
70 |
5 |
71 |
97 |
5 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
140 |
76 |
4 |
82 |
64 |
5 |
| Jon Hobbs |
99 |
77 |
6 |
72 |
111 |
6 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
132 |
104 |
5 |
109 |
80 |
2 |
|
