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Dubuque, Day 2
Lamoni, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Jayson Prentice 78.0 91.9 81.4 79.6 56.7 77.6 77.53
Justin Wittrock 82.4 62.2 78.6 72.5 84.3 87.3 77.87
Average 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.00
GFS Extended MOS 82.8 81.5 81.4 87.5 75.4 75.2 80.62
National Weather Service 86.0 76.7 80.0 86.4 82.9 77.6 81.62
Eta/GFS MOS 82.4 75.5 81.4 75.7 83.3 92.1 81.74
GFS MOS 84.4 82.4 81.4 82.3 78.7 84.8 82.34
Consensus MOS 80.0 83.0 85.5 83.8 82.3 84.8 83.25
Andrew Ansorge 78.0 89.2 81.4 71.7 92.5 87.3 83.33
GFS Ensemble MOS 79.6 100.8 91.0 81.1 92.8 87.3 88.76
Jon Hobbs 94.5 81.8 93.8 79.6 82.6 101.8 89.01
Eta MOS 96.1 71.1 88.3 81.3 94.1 106.6 89.57
Brandon Engelson 89.3 93.1 89.7 86.8 98.7 94.5 92.01
NGM MOS 116.6 96.4 118.7 115.0 92.1 106.6 107.56


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Jayson Prentice 43 100 3 113 16 3
Justin Wittrock 54 0 1 80 100 7
Average 48 60 2 115 87 4
GFS Extended MOS 55 65 3 150 73 2
National Weather Service 63 49 2 145 96 3
Eta/GFS MOS 54 45 3 95 97 9
GFS MOS 59 68 3 126 83 6
Consensus MOS 48 70 6 133 94 6
Andrew Ansorge 43 91 3 76 125 7
GFS Ensemble MOS 47 130 10 120 126 7
Jon Hobbs 84 66 12 113 95 13
Eta MOS 88 30 8 121 130 15
Brandon Engelson 71 104 9 147 144 10
NGM MOS 139 115 30 279 124 15