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Sioux City, Day 4/3/2/1

Shenandoah, Day 4/3/2/1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Consensus MOS 0.39 0.88 -0.78 -0.12 0.05 0.00 0.07
Sho Kawazoe -0.19 0.35 1.57 0.15 -0.30 0.00 0.26
Jon Hobbs 0.08 0.88 0.10 0.17 -0.07 0.44 0.26
National Weather Service -0.57 0.97 -1.08 2.08 -0.21 1.31 0.42
GFS Extended MOS 2.62 -0.19 -0.78 -0.29 -0.01 1.75 0.52
Brandon Fisel -0.92 -0.31 1.76 2.40 0.83 -0.44 0.56
Eric Mykleby 0.99 -1.82 0.59 -0.26 3.07 0.88 0.57
Andrew Ansorge -0.34 0.59 0.78 0.49 0.04 2.63 0.70
GFS Ensemble MOS -0.14 1.92 -0.59 1.46 0.21 1.75 0.77


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Average 162 77 25 40 208 3
Consensus MOS 187 114 17 32 213 3
Sho Kawazoe 150 92 41 50 179 3
Jon Hobbs 167 114 26 51 201 4
National Weather Service 125 118 14 175 188 6
GFS Extended MOS 331 69 17 21 207 7
Brandon Fisel 103 64 43 196 287 2
Eric Mykleby 226 0 31 23 500 5
Andrew Ansorge 140 102 33 72 212 9
GFS Ensemble MOS 153 158 19 135 228 7