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Cedar Rapids, Day 2

Keokuk, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Hobbs 1.31 0.43 -0.14 -0.16 -0.88 0.00 0.09
Justin Wittrock 1.55 -1.93 -0.14 -0.85 2.26 1.38 0.38
Consensus MOS -0.02 0.59 0.14 0.27 0.27 1.03 0.38
National Weather Service 2.50 0.46 -0.14 -0.16 -0.41 1.38 0.60
GFS Extended MOS 2.24 0.48 -0.14 -0.35 0.68 1.03 0.66
GFS MOS 1.13 0.67 0.43 -0.30 0.91 1.38 0.70
GFS Ensemble MOS 0.14 1.26 -0.43 2.33 -0.71 2.41 0.83
NAM MOS -0.02 1.64 2.86 1.43 1.11 3.10 1.69


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Average 130 124 4 377 135 3
Jon Hobbs 195 140 3 354 109 3
Justin Wittrock 207 52 3 256 202 7
Consensus MOS 129 146 5 415 143 6
National Weather Service 254 141 3 354 123 7
GFS Extended MOS 241 142 3 327 155 6
GFS MOS 186 149 7 334 162 7
GFS Ensemble MOS 137 171 1 709 114 10
NAM MOS 129 185 24 580 168 12