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Sioux City, Day 4/3/2/1

Clarinda, Day 4/3/2/1

Harlan, Day 4/3/2/1

Storm Lake, Day 4/3/2/1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Jon Hobbs -1.17 -0.33 -0.36 -0.55 -0.14 1.93 -0.10
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andrew Ansorge 0.09 -0.01 0.27 0.03 -0.25 0.00 0.02
Consensus MOS 0.80 -0.68 0.00 1.15 -0.50 0.24 0.17
Brandon Engelson -1.03 0.51 0.81 -0.75 0.94 1.21 0.28
National Weather Service -1.53 0.80 1.16 -0.78 0.25 2.89 0.47
GFS Ensemble MOS 0.13 -0.34 0.09 2.27 0.66 0.96 0.63
GFS Extended MOS 1.17 -0.41 1.07 0.43 -0.31 1.93 0.65
Jeff Duda -0.68 1.58 2.15 -0.97 1.48 0.72 0.71
Justin Wittrock -1.84 2.46 2.69 0.16 2.71 0.00 1.03


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Jon Hobbs 234 572 78 1918 1075 52
Average 437 634 82 2187 1100 44
Andrew Ansorge 453 632 85 2200 1054 44
Consensus MOS 575 505 82 2748 1007 45
Brandon Engelson 259 731 91 1821 1273 49
National Weather Service 173 786 95 1807 1147 56
GFS Ensemble MOS 459 569 83 3292 1222 48
GFS Extended MOS 639 557 94 2396 1043 52
Jeff Duda 319 933 106 1716 1372 47
Justin Wittrock 118 1100 112 2263 1600 44