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Mason City, Day 4/3/2/1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Brandon Engelson 85.3 71.7 76.1 78.5 73.6 78.6 77.32
Chris Schaffer 79.5 75.0 76.1 85.2 75.2 79.3 78.38
Jon Hobbs 78.1 85.4 76.1 79.7 73.4 78.6 78.56
Andrew Ansorge 74.0 80.0 80.0 73.7 80.0 84.7 78.74
Average 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.00
GFS Extended MOS 76.9 84.3 80.0 78.6 74.9 93.5 81.38
Consensus MOS 74.9 90.8 87.8 87.5 75.9 98.3 85.87
National Weather Service 85.0 86.1 91.7 81.5 74.2 98.3 86.13
Jayson Prentice 78.3 91.2 83.9 87.8 93.2 85.4 86.62
Justin Wittrock 111.3 107.7 91.7 69.1 107.2 77.3 94.06
GFS Ensemble MOS 75.3 99.4 111.2 109.7 83.6 108.4 97.94


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Brandon Engelson 281 0 0 255 68 4
Chris Schaffer 203 9 0 349 74 5
Jon Hobbs 185 38 0 272 67 4
Andrew Ansorge 131 23 1 188 93 13
Average 210 23 1 276 93 6
GFS Extended MOS 169 35 1 257 73 26
Consensus MOS 142 53 3 381 77 33
National Weather Service 277 40 4 297 70 33
Jayson Prentice 187 54 2 384 145 14
Justin Wittrock 625 100 4 125 200 2
GFS Ensemble MOS 148 77 9 689 107 48