 |
|
|
Ames, Day 2.5
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Andrew Ansorge |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
-0.81 |
-2.69 |
-0.52 |
| Eric Mykleby |
0.92 |
-1.16 |
0.00 |
0.51 |
-2.00 |
-0.45 |
-0.36 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.03 |
-0.08 |
0.00 |
0.79 |
0.19 |
-0.45 |
0.08 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.68 |
-0.13 |
0.00 |
-0.16 |
1.62 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
| Brandon Fisel |
1.96 |
-0.43 |
0.00 |
0.09 |
-0.75 |
0.00 |
0.15 |
| National Weather Service |
0.72 |
-0.38 |
1.72 |
1.07 |
-0.25 |
-1.79 |
0.18 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
-0.72 |
0.95 |
2.58 |
0.14 |
1.12 |
-2.24 |
0.31 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.74 |
0.70 |
0.86 |
0.26 |
0.81 |
0.00 |
0.32 |
| Sho Kawazoe |
0.13 |
0.73 |
0.86 |
0.00 |
0.19 |
0.00 |
0.32 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.57 |
-0.05 |
0.86 |
1.03 |
0.56 |
0.00 |
0.66 |
| NAM MOS |
-1.42 |
2.86 |
2.58 |
3.50 |
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.42 |
Raw Squared Error
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Andrew Ansorge |
399 |
51 |
0 |
231 |
19 |
4 |
| Eric Mykleby |
455 |
0 |
0 |
249 |
0 |
9 |
| Average |
389 |
46 |
0 |
227 |
32 |
10 |
| Jon Hobbs |
391 |
43 |
0 |
261 |
35 |
9 |
| GFS MOS |
340 |
41 |
0 |
220 |
58 |
10 |
| Brandon Fisel |
530 |
29 |
0 |
231 |
20 |
10 |
| National Weather Service |
441 |
31 |
2 |
273 |
28 |
6 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
337 |
84 |
3 |
233 |
50 |
5 |
| Consensus MOS |
336 |
74 |
1 |
238 |
45 |
10 |
| Sho Kawazoe |
398 |
75 |
1 |
227 |
35 |
10 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
502 |
44 |
1 |
271 |
41 |
10 |
| NAM MOS |
287 |
160 |
3 |
377 |
48 |
10 |
|