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Ames, Day 2.5

Final Results

Normalized Scores

12-00Z 00-12Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q Overall
Andrew Ansorge 0.14 0.13 0.00 0.09 -0.81 -2.69 -0.52
Eric Mykleby 0.92 -1.16 0.00 0.51 -2.00 -0.45 -0.36
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jon Hobbs 0.03 -0.08 0.00 0.79 0.19 -0.45 0.08
GFS MOS -0.68 -0.13 0.00 -0.16 1.62 0.00 0.11
Brandon Fisel 1.96 -0.43 0.00 0.09 -0.75 0.00 0.15
National Weather Service 0.72 -0.38 1.72 1.07 -0.25 -1.79 0.18
GFS Ensemble MOS -0.72 0.95 2.58 0.14 1.12 -2.24 0.31
Consensus MOS -0.74 0.70 0.86 0.26 0.81 0.00 0.32
Sho Kawazoe 0.13 0.73 0.86 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.32
GFS Extended MOS 1.57 -0.05 0.86 1.03 0.56 0.00 0.66
NAM MOS -1.42 2.86 2.58 3.50 1.00 0.00 1.42


Raw Squared Error

12-00Z 00-12Z
Forecaster T P Q T P Q
Andrew Ansorge 399 51 0 231 19 4
Eric Mykleby 455 0 0 249 0 9
Average 389 46 0 227 32 10
Jon Hobbs 391 43 0 261 35 9
GFS MOS 340 41 0 220 58 10
Brandon Fisel 530 29 0 231 20 10
National Weather Service 441 31 2 273 28 6
GFS Ensemble MOS 337 84 3 233 50 5
Consensus MOS 336 74 1 238 45 10
Sho Kawazoe 398 75 1 227 35 10
GFS Extended MOS 502 44 1 271 41 10
NAM MOS 287 160 3 377 48 10