 |
|
|
Estherville, Day 4/3/2/1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
Overall |
| Jeff Duda |
-0.75 |
-0.44 |
0.00 |
-0.53 |
-1.43 |
0.00 |
-0.53 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.53 |
0.22 |
0.00 |
-0.37 |
0.31 |
-1.56 |
-0.32 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
-0.61 |
-0.33 |
0.64 |
-0.11 |
-0.12 |
-0.78 |
-0.22 |
| Nick Carletta |
0.46 |
-0.78 |
0.00 |
-0.20 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
-0.16 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.87 |
0.44 |
0.00 |
-0.49 |
-0.19 |
0.78 |
-0.06 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Justin Hayward |
-0.05 |
0.22 |
0.00 |
-0.02 |
-0.09 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.69 |
0.44 |
0.00 |
0.91 |
1.15 |
-1.04 |
0.13 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.91 |
1.11 |
0.64 |
1.11 |
1.40 |
0.00 |
0.86 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.35 |
2.78 |
3.19 |
2.67 |
1.99 |
2.08 |
2.51 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Jeff Duda |
307 |
3 |
0 |
112 |
2 |
13 |
| Jon Hobbs |
342 |
9 |
0 |
149 |
58 |
7 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
329 |
4 |
1 |
207 |
44 |
10 |
| Nick Carletta |
505 |
0 |
0 |
188 |
33 |
13 |
| National Weather Service |
286 |
11 |
0 |
121 |
42 |
16 |
| Average |
430 |
7 |
0 |
233 |
48 |
13 |
| Justin Hayward |
422 |
9 |
0 |
229 |
45 |
13 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
317 |
11 |
0 |
439 |
85 |
9 |
| Consensus MOS |
580 |
17 |
1 |
484 |
93 |
13 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
817 |
32 |
5 |
838 |
112 |
21 |
|
