 |
|
|
Clinton, Day 2.5
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Justin Wittrock |
0.11 |
-0.84 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
-0.46 |
-1.13 |
-0.70 |
0.00 |
-0.44 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.52 |
0.13 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
1.35 |
-0.46 |
-0.35 |
-0.97 |
-0.16 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.55 |
0.20 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.17 |
-0.30 |
-0.70 |
-0.97 |
-0.01 |
| Jayson Prentice |
0.16 |
-0.84 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
-0.58 |
1.71 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.00 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| National Weather Service |
0.29 |
0.61 |
0.94 |
0.00 |
-0.06 |
-0.53 |
1.05 |
-0.97 |
0.17 |
| Chris Schaffer |
0.00 |
-0.54 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
-0.58 |
2.65 |
0.35 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
| Brandon Engelson |
0.18 |
0.44 |
-0.94 |
0.00 |
1.20 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.18 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.16 |
1.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.46 |
-0.16 |
-0.35 |
0.97 |
0.24 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
0.46 |
0.87 |
1.41 |
0.00 |
-0.55 |
-0.16 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.25 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
-0.13 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.29 |
1.45 |
-0.35 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
| Jeff Duda |
0.83 |
0.17 |
-0.47 |
0.00 |
0.71 |
0.95 |
0.00 |
0.97 |
0.39 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.15 |
0.17 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.42 |
-0.32 |
-0.35 |
2.90 |
0.46 |
| Eta MOS |
1.53 |
2.12 |
1.41 |
0.00 |
-0.74 |
0.00 |
1.40 |
-0.97 |
0.59 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
3.61 |
2.83 |
2.81 |
0.00 |
2.58 |
0.18 |
3.16 |
0.00 |
1.90 |
Raw Squared Error
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Justin Wittrock |
64 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
62 |
100 |
4 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
25 |
29 |
1 |
1 |
121 |
129 |
5 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
91 |
31 |
2 |
1 |
115 |
136 |
4 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
67 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
58 |
223 |
6 |
1 |
| Average |
57 |
25 |
2 |
1 |
77 |
149 |
6 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
75 |
43 |
4 |
1 |
75 |
126 |
9 |
0 |
| Chris Schaffer |
57 |
9 |
1 |
1 |
58 |
264 |
7 |
1 |
| Brandon Engelson |
68 |
38 |
0 |
1 |
116 |
174 |
6 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
47 |
60 |
2 |
1 |
92 |
142 |
5 |
2 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
85 |
51 |
5 |
1 |
59 |
142 |
6 |
1 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
49 |
37 |
2 |
1 |
119 |
212 |
5 |
1 |
| Jeff Duda |
108 |
30 |
1 |
1 |
100 |
190 |
6 |
2 |
| GFS MOS |
48 |
30 |
2 |
1 |
123 |
135 |
5 |
4 |
| Eta MOS |
151 |
88 |
5 |
1 |
53 |
149 |
10 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
279 |
109 |
8 |
1 |
161 |
157 |
15 |
1 |
|
