 |
|
|
Iowa City, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
|
Overall
|
| Eta MOS |
62.2 |
80.5 |
74.5 |
95.6 |
72.5 |
75.2 |
|
76.77 |
| David Kochevar |
82.5 |
79.8 |
80.0 |
70.9 |
86.7 |
75.2 |
|
79.19 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
72.7 |
79.5 |
72.6 |
94.5 |
76.3 |
80.0 |
|
79.25 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
76.1 |
77.6 |
80.0 |
92.1 |
80.4 |
84.8 |
|
81.83 |
| Jon Hobbs |
87.3 |
74.6 |
72.6 |
82.3 |
82.1 |
99.0 |
|
82.99 |
| Brandon Engelson |
75.5 |
72.4 |
78.2 |
92.8 |
82.9 |
99.0 |
|
83.46 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
86.5 |
68.8 |
70.8 |
95.2 |
85.4 |
94.3 |
|
83.48 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
92.1 |
77.1 |
80.0 |
79.3 |
94.5 |
84.8 |
|
84.64 |
| GFS MOS |
85.4 |
82.9 |
78.2 |
98.7 |
87.5 |
80.0 |
|
85.42 |
| Chris Schaffer |
80.8 |
86.4 |
92.9 |
77.2 |
92.5 |
84.8 |
|
85.77 |
| National Weather Service |
95.5 |
84.4 |
89.2 |
67.9 |
83.3 |
99.0 |
|
86.56 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
97.2 |
84.4 |
92.9 |
94.5 |
87.1 |
84.8 |
|
90.14 |
| Justin Wittrock |
101.4 |
112.2 |
109.6 |
77.2 |
70.9 |
99.0 |
|
95.04 |
| Jayson Prentice |
90.4 |
95.3 |
89.2 |
73.7 |
114.1 |
108.5 |
|
95.20 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Eta MOS |
22 |
113 |
7 |
295 |
104 |
5 |
| David Kochevar |
94 |
109 |
10 |
189 |
138 |
5 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
59 |
107 |
6 |
290 |
113 |
6 |
| Average |
85 |
110 |
10 |
228 |
122 |
6 |
| Consensus MOS |
71 |
96 |
10 |
280 |
123 |
7 |
| Jon Hobbs |
111 |
78 |
6 |
238 |
127 |
10 |
| Brandon Engelson |
69 |
65 |
9 |
283 |
129 |
10 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
108 |
44 |
5 |
293 |
135 |
9 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
128 |
93 |
10 |
225 |
157 |
7 |
| GFS MOS |
104 |
127 |
9 |
308 |
140 |
6 |
| Chris Schaffer |
88 |
148 |
17 |
216 |
152 |
7 |
| National Weather Service |
140 |
136 |
15 |
176 |
130 |
10 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
146 |
136 |
17 |
290 |
139 |
7 |
| Justin Wittrock |
161 |
300 |
26 |
216 |
100 |
10 |
| Jayson Prentice |
122 |
200 |
15 |
201 |
204 |
12 |
|
