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Mason City, Day 1

Mason City, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S Overall
GFS Extended MOS 0.00 -0.98 -0.66 0.00 0.90 -0.50 -0.56 0.00 -0.23
Consensus MOS 0.21 -0.21 -0.33 0.00 -0.45 -0.14 0.19 0.00 -0.09
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sho Kawazoe 0.12 0.05 0.66 0.00 -0.20 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.07
Jon Hobbs 0.00 0.26 0.33 0.00 0.31 -0.12 0.37 0.00 0.14
GFS MOS -0.21 -0.45 -0.33 0.00 -0.56 0.58 2.60 0.00 0.20
Eric Mykleby -0.09 -0.96 -0.33 0.00 0.08 2.94 0.00 0.00 0.21
Andrew Ansorge 0.12 1.93 -0.33 0.00 0.25 0.78 -0.56 0.00 0.28
Brandon Fisel 0.30 1.27 -0.66 0.00 2.77 -0.95 -0.37 0.00 0.30
GFS Ensemble MOS 3.63 -0.14 -0.33 0.00 1.32 -0.87 -0.74 0.00 0.36
National Weather Service 0.30 0.72 0.99 0.00 1.04 -0.54 1.30 0.00 0.48
Ben Moser 0.72 2.03 0.99 0.00 0.22 0.20 1.86 0.00 0.75
NAM MOS 0.82 1.24 2.96 0.00 2.16 0.66 0.37 0.00 1.03


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S
GFS Extended MOS 40 99 3 0 105 129 6 0
Consensus MOS 49 131 4 0 57 147 10 0
Average 40 140 5 0 73 154 9 0
Sho Kawazoe 45 142 7 0 66 151 9 0
Jon Hobbs 40 151 6 0 84 148 11 0
GFS MOS 31 121 4 0 53 183 23 0
Eric Mykleby 36 100 4 0 76 300 9 0
Andrew Ansorge 45 221 4 0 82 193 6 0
Brandon Fisel 53 193 3 0 172 107 7 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 196 134 4 0 120 111 5 0
National Weather Service 53 170 8 0 110 127 16 0
Ben Moser 71 225 8 0 81 164 19 0
NAM MOS 75 192 14 0 150 187 11 0