 |
|
|
Waterloo, Day 1
Waterloo, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Jeff Duda |
0.11 |
-1.05 |
-1.13 |
0.00 |
-0.06 |
-0.33 |
-0.49 |
0.00 |
-0.37 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.09 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.19 |
1.33 |
-0.66 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.73 |
0.49 |
-0.57 |
0.00 |
-0.15 |
-0.14 |
0.49 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.74 |
-0.13 |
-0.57 |
0.00 |
1.87 |
0.27 |
-0.99 |
0.00 |
0.28 |
| NAM MOS |
2.06 |
-0.66 |
-1.13 |
0.00 |
-0.05 |
2.45 |
0.33 |
0.00 |
0.38 |
| Justin Wittrock |
0.71 |
0.96 |
-0.57 |
0.00 |
0.24 |
0.46 |
1.48 |
0.00 |
0.41 |
| GFS MOS |
2.20 |
-0.26 |
-0.57 |
0.00 |
2.84 |
0.79 |
-0.66 |
0.00 |
0.54 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
1.08 |
1.98 |
2.26 |
0.00 |
0.12 |
0.60 |
-0.16 |
0.00 |
0.73 |
| National Weather Service |
2.70 |
1.81 |
0.57 |
0.00 |
0.26 |
-1.25 |
2.14 |
0.00 |
0.78 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Jeff Duda |
61 |
64 |
2 |
0 |
105 |
160 |
5 |
0 |
| Average |
56 |
96 |
4 |
0 |
111 |
172 |
8 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
52 |
96 |
4 |
0 |
130 |
221 |
4 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
88 |
111 |
3 |
0 |
96 |
167 |
11 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
132 |
92 |
3 |
0 |
295 |
182 |
2 |
0 |
| NAM MOS |
146 |
76 |
2 |
0 |
106 |
262 |
10 |
0 |
| Justin Wittrock |
87 |
125 |
3 |
0 |
135 |
189 |
17 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
152 |
88 |
3 |
0 |
390 |
201 |
4 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
103 |
156 |
8 |
0 |
123 |
194 |
7 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
174 |
151 |
5 |
0 |
137 |
126 |
21 |
0 |
|
