 |
|
|
Ames, Day 1
Clinton, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Jayson Prentice |
0.78 |
-0.77 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.48 |
-2.41 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.36 |
| Jeff Duda |
0.39 |
-0.77 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.14 |
-1.65 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.27 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
-0.26 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
0.77 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.11 |
| Jon Hobbs |
1.21 |
-0.51 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.27 |
0.71 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.24 |
0.64 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.57 |
0.59 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.25 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.78 |
1.54 |
-1.58 |
0.00 |
-0.08 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.34 |
| Eta MOS |
0.45 |
-0.51 |
1.58 |
0.00 |
-0.15 |
0.88 |
0.94 |
0.00 |
0.40 |
| Nick Carletta |
1.51 |
1.54 |
1.58 |
0.00 |
-0.35 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.53 |
| Ryan Alliss |
0.26 |
-0.51 |
1.58 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.53 |
3.77 |
0.00 |
0.70 |
| National Weather Service |
2.12 |
1.02 |
1.58 |
0.00 |
-0.46 |
0.82 |
0.94 |
0.00 |
0.76 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
1.23 |
1.15 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.73 |
0.29 |
0.94 |
0.00 |
0.79 |
| Brandon Fisel |
2.55 |
0.77 |
1.58 |
0.00 |
1.93 |
1.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.00 |
| GFS MOS |
2.55 |
0.77 |
1.58 |
0.00 |
1.93 |
1.18 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.00 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
0.65 |
2.56 |
1.58 |
3.87 |
-0.01 |
0.00 |
0.94 |
3.87 |
1.68 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Jayson Prentice |
149 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
61 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Jeff Duda |
128 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
110 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
| Average |
107 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
130 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
93 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
178 |
54 |
0 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
172 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
92 |
53 |
0 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
120 |
11 |
1 |
0 |
211 |
51 |
0 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
256 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
119 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| Eta MOS |
131 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
108 |
56 |
1 |
0 |
| Nick Carletta |
188 |
18 |
2 |
0 |
80 |
41 |
0 |
0 |
| Ryan Alliss |
121 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
130 |
50 |
4 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
221 |
14 |
2 |
0 |
65 |
55 |
1 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
173 |
15 |
1 |
0 |
520 |
46 |
1 |
0 |
| Brandon Fisel |
244 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
406 |
61 |
0 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
244 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
406 |
61 |
0 |
0 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
142 |
26 |
2 |
1 |
128 |
41 |
1 |
2 |
|
