 |
|
|
Marshalltown, Day 1
Marshalltown, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Brandon Engelson |
-0.17 |
-1.49 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.36 |
-0.73 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.34 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.14 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.13 |
0.37 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.14 |
0.56 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.61 |
0.29 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
| Justin Wittrock |
-0.29 |
-1.30 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.29 |
-0.59 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
| Jeff Duda |
0.81 |
-1.49 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.72 |
-0.44 |
2.05 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
| Jayson Prentice |
0.58 |
-0.75 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.83 |
-0.44 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
| Ben Schwedler |
0.43 |
-1.12 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.06 |
-0.59 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
| Jon Hobbs |
1.09 |
-0.56 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.26 |
0.29 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
| GFS MOS |
0.21 |
0.56 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.99 |
0.15 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.36 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
-0.72 |
2.05 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.61 |
1.69 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.58 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
1.22 |
0.56 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.47 |
0.73 |
2.05 |
0.00 |
0.63 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.33 |
0.00 |
2.84 |
0.00 |
0.17 |
0.37 |
2.05 |
0.00 |
0.64 |
| Eta MOS |
3.12 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.36 |
2.13 |
2.05 |
0.00 |
0.96 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
-1.01 |
0.93 |
2.84 |
3.87 |
-0.25 |
2.49 |
2.05 |
3.87 |
1.85 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Brandon Engelson |
85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
115 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| Average |
93 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
134 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
86 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
127 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
86 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
102 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| Justin Wittrock |
79 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
255 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| Jeff Duda |
132 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
96 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
121 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
178 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| Ben Schwedler |
114 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
243 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
146 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
148 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
103 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
239 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
58 |
19 |
0 |
0 |
219 |
33 |
0 |
0 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
152 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
159 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
77 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
143 |
15 |
1 |
0 |
| Eta MOS |
244 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
153 |
39 |
1 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
44 |
13 |
1 |
1 |
121 |
44 |
1 |
1 |
|
