 |
|
|
Clinton, Day 1
Clinton, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
|
Overall
|
| Eta/GFS MOS |
76.4 |
78.3 |
65.4 |
80.0 |
81.7 |
72.1 |
84.1 |
80.0 |
|
77.24 |
| Consensus MOS |
76.7 |
80.0 |
65.4 |
80.0 |
84.0 |
75.3 |
84.1 |
80.0 |
|
78.19 |
| GFS MOS |
65.1 |
70.2 |
60.5 |
80.0 |
85.7 |
76.1 |
108.5 |
80.0 |
|
78.27 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
72.9 |
86.8 |
71.5 |
80.0 |
87.0 |
73.2 |
98.3 |
80.0 |
|
81.21 |
| Jon Hobbs |
79.1 |
81.5 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
79.3 |
84.6 |
88.1 |
80.0 |
|
81.58 |
| Eta MOS |
90.1 |
88.7 |
86.1 |
80.0 |
84.6 |
74.8 |
71.9 |
80.0 |
|
82.02 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
82.7 |
80.4 |
84.9 |
80.0 |
78.3 |
92.0 |
82.0 |
80.0 |
|
82.54 |
| National Weather Service |
82.4 |
92.4 |
78.8 |
80.0 |
77.2 |
88.4 |
98.3 |
80.0 |
|
84.69 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
91.1 |
75.4 |
61.8 |
80.0 |
102.8 |
90.5 |
102.4 |
80.0 |
|
85.49 |
| David Kochevar |
80.9 |
99.4 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
108.3 |
84.9 |
82.0 |
80.0 |
|
86.95 |
| Justin Wittrock |
75.1 |
107.3 |
90.9 |
80.0 |
73.9 |
106.2 |
90.2 |
80.0 |
|
87.94 |
| Brandon Engelson |
107.8 |
94.6 |
88.5 |
80.0 |
73.0 |
97.6 |
82.0 |
80.0 |
|
87.94 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
162 |
192 |
27 |
0 |
120 |
139 |
9 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
164 |
200 |
27 |
0 |
137 |
158 |
9 |
0 |
| GFS MOS |
86 |
155 |
23 |
0 |
149 |
163 |
21 |
0 |
| Average |
186 |
200 |
39 |
0 |
108 |
186 |
7 |
0 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
138 |
231 |
32 |
0 |
158 |
146 |
16 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
180 |
207 |
39 |
0 |
103 |
213 |
11 |
0 |
| Eta MOS |
254 |
240 |
44 |
0 |
141 |
155 |
3 |
0 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
204 |
202 |
43 |
0 |
96 |
257 |
8 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
202 |
257 |
38 |
0 |
88 |
236 |
16 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
261 |
179 |
24 |
0 |
271 |
248 |
18 |
0 |
| David Kochevar |
192 |
289 |
39 |
0 |
311 |
215 |
8 |
0 |
| Justin Wittrock |
153 |
325 |
48 |
0 |
64 |
341 |
12 |
0 |
| Brandon Engelson |
373 |
267 |
46 |
0 |
58 |
290 |
8 |
0 |
|
