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Lamoni, Day 1

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S Overall
Andrew Ansorge 0.06 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.31 -0.37 -0.48 0.00 -0.09
Jon Hobbs 0.12 -0.84 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.05
GFS MOS 0.50 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.03 -0.63 -0.48 0.00 -0.03
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sho Kawazoe -0.65 0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.19 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Consensus MOS 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.21
GFS Extended MOS 1.03 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.29
Ben Moser -0.30 0.00 -1.06 0.00 0.51 0.05 0.96 2.28 0.31
National Weather Service 0.06 -1.31 1.06 0.00 0.21 0.79 0.96 2.28 0.50
Eric Mykleby -0.32 -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.15 3.05 0.00 2.28 0.56
NAM MOS 1.45 0.44 3.17 0.00 0.49 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.76
Brandon Fisel -0.09 2.99 1.06 0.00 -0.03 0.84 3.35 0.00 1.02
GFS Ensemble MOS 3.16 -0.30 0.00 0.00 3.63 2.21 0.48 0.00 1.15


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S
Andrew Ansorge 60 105 2 0 162 35 0 0
Jon Hobbs 62 86 2 0 121 49 1 0
GFS MOS 75 122 2 0 131 30 0 0
Average 58 111 2 0 128 42 1 0
Sho Kawazoe 36 115 2 0 107 61 1 0
Consensus MOS 81 111 2 0 185 51 1 0
GFS Extended MOS 93 122 2 0 128 60 1 0
Ben Moser 48 111 1 0 184 43 3 1
National Weather Service 60 72 3 0 151 57 3 1
Eric Mykleby 47 100 2 0 111 100 1 1
NAM MOS 107 124 5 0 182 53 1 0
Brandon Fisel 55 200 3 0 125 58 8 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 165 102 2 0 529 84 2 0