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Mason City, Day 2

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S Overall
Jon Hobbs -0.42 0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.16 -0.96 0.00 0.00 -0.14
Brandon Engelson -1.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.09
GFS Extended MOS 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.31 -0.96 0.00 0.00 -0.07
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Justin Wittrock -0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
Nick Carletta -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Justin Hayward 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
Jeff Duda -0.59 1.16 0.00 0.00 0.09 -2.56 2.35 0.00 0.06
GFS MOS 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10
Consensus MOS 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.14
NAM MOS 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.09 1.39 0.00 0.00 0.17
Elizabeth Suess -0.53 1.16 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.00 2.35 0.00 0.40
National Weather Service -0.67 3.08 3.74 0.00 0.25 0.32 2.35 0.00 1.13
GFS Ensemble MOS 2.96 2.31 0.00 0.00 3.76 1.60 0.00 0.00 1.33


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P Q S T P Q S
Jon Hobbs 263 2 0 0 28 16 0 0
Brandon Engelson 172 1 0 0 44 25 0 0
GFS Extended MOS 428 1 0 0 23 16 0 0
Average 322 1 0 0 33 25 0 0
Justin Wittrock 296 1 0 0 47 25 0 0
Nick Carletta 321 1 0 0 43 25 0 0
Justin Hayward 326 1 0 0 43 25 0 0
Jeff Duda 239 4 0 0 36 1 1 0
GFS MOS 435 1 0 0 34 25 0 0
Consensus MOS 459 1 0 0 32 27 0 0
NAM MOS 331 1 0 0 30 38 0 0
Elizabeth Suess 248 4 0 0 41 25 1 0
National Weather Service 228 9 1 0 41 28 1 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 739 7 0 0 154 40 0 0