 |
|
|
Des Moines, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
03-18Z
| |
| Forecaster |
W |
C |
V |
Overall |
| Ryan Alliss |
-0.85 |
-0.19 |
-1.25 |
-0.76 |
| Brandon Fisel |
-1.27 |
0.09 |
-0.21 |
-0.46 |
| Chris Schaffer |
-0.42 |
0.56 |
-1.46 |
-0.44 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.85 |
0.65 |
-0.84 |
-0.34 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
0.42 |
-0.19 |
-0.84 |
-0.20 |
| Brandon Engelson |
0.00 |
0.47 |
-0.84 |
-0.12 |
| Jeff Duda |
-0.42 |
0.00 |
0.21 |
-0.07 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Jon Hobbs |
-0.42 |
-0.65 |
1.25 |
0.06 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.85 |
0.75 |
0.84 |
0.25 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
0.00 |
1.78 |
-0.63 |
0.38 |
| Jayson Prentice |
1.69 |
-0.75 |
0.63 |
0.52 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.85 |
1.59 |
-0.84 |
0.53 |
| NGM MOS |
1.69 |
1.50 |
0.00 |
1.06 |
| Eta MOS |
1.27 |
3.08 |
-0.63 |
1.24 |
| Nick Carletta |
1.69 |
0.75 |
2.30 |
1.58 |
Raw Squared Error
|
03-18Z
|
| Forecaster |
W |
C |
V |
| Ryan Alliss |
3 |
21 |
7 |
| Brandon Fisel |
2 |
24 |
12 |
| Chris Schaffer |
4 |
29 |
6 |
| GFS MOS |
3 |
30 |
9 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
6 |
21 |
9 |
| Brandon Engelson |
5 |
28 |
9 |
| Jeff Duda |
4 |
23 |
14 |
| Average |
5 |
23 |
13 |
| Jon Hobbs |
4 |
16 |
19 |
| National Weather Service |
3 |
31 |
17 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
5 |
42 |
10 |
| Jayson Prentice |
9 |
15 |
16 |
| Consensus MOS |
7 |
40 |
9 |
| NGM MOS |
9 |
39 |
13 |
| Eta MOS |
8 |
56 |
10 |
| Nick Carletta |
9 |
31 |
24 |
|
