 |
|
|
Burlington, Day 7/6/5/4
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
T |
P |
Overall |
| Jeff Duda |
-0.15 |
-0.98 |
-1.30 |
-0.99 |
-0.86 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
-0.10 |
-1.28 |
-0.23 |
1.56 |
-0.01 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.48 |
-0.37 |
0.37 |
0.61 |
0.03 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.27 |
0.37 |
-0.15 |
-0.33 |
0.04 |
| Chris Schaffer |
0.63 |
0.96 |
-0.39 |
-0.38 |
0.21 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.19 |
0.20 |
0.42 |
0.66 |
0.37 |
| Brandon Engelson |
1.10 |
-0.20 |
-0.72 |
1.56 |
0.44 |
| National Weather Service |
1.94 |
0.07 |
0.91 |
1.80 |
1.18 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.73 |
0.54 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
1.22 |
| Justin Wittrock |
1.27 |
1.94 |
2.48 |
-0.66 |
1.26 |
| Jayson Prentice |
1.80 |
1.98 |
1.29 |
1.80 |
1.72 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
T |
P |
| Jeff Duda |
63 |
102 |
318 |
2 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
66 |
88 |
488 |
56 |
| Average |
73 |
147 |
524 |
23 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
41 |
130 |
582 |
36 |
| Jon Hobbs |
91 |
164 |
500 |
16 |
| Chris Schaffer |
115 |
191 |
463 |
15 |
| Consensus MOS |
86 |
156 |
591 |
37 |
| Brandon Engelson |
147 |
138 |
411 |
56 |
| National Weather Service |
203 |
150 |
667 |
61 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
256 |
172 |
650 |
40 |
| Justin Wittrock |
158 |
236 |
915 |
9 |
| Jayson Prentice |
194 |
238 |
728 |
61 |
|