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Burlington, Day 7/6/5/4

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
Jeff Duda -0.15 -0.98 -1.30 -0.99 -0.86
Andrew Ansorge -0.10 -1.28 -0.23 1.56 -0.01
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
GFS Extended MOS -0.48 -0.37 0.37 0.61 0.03
Jon Hobbs 0.27 0.37 -0.15 -0.33 0.04
Chris Schaffer 0.63 0.96 -0.39 -0.38 0.21
Consensus MOS 0.19 0.20 0.42 0.66 0.37
Brandon Engelson 1.10 -0.20 -0.72 1.56 0.44
National Weather Service 1.94 0.07 0.91 1.80 1.18
GFS Ensemble MOS 2.73 0.54 0.80 0.80 1.22
Justin Wittrock 1.27 1.94 2.48 -0.66 1.26
Jayson Prentice 1.80 1.98 1.29 1.80 1.72


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
Jeff Duda 63 102 318 2
Andrew Ansorge 66 88 488 56
Average 73 147 524 23
GFS Extended MOS 41 130 582 36
Jon Hobbs 91 164 500 16
Chris Schaffer 115 191 463 15
Consensus MOS 86 156 591 37
Brandon Engelson 147 138 411 56
National Weather Service 203 150 667 61
GFS Ensemble MOS 256 172 650 40
Justin Wittrock 158 236 915 9
Jayson Prentice 194 238 728 61