 |
|
|
Ames, Day 7
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
T |
P |
|
Overall
|
| GFS Extended MOS |
77.0 |
80.0 |
59.7 |
82.0 |
|
74.65 |
| Chris Schaffer |
79.4 |
69.3 |
89.0 |
69.0 |
|
76.69 |
| Jayson Prentice |
84.2 |
78.1 |
75.2 |
78.0 |
|
78.86 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| Consensus MOS |
69.0 |
88.8 |
78.4 |
91.9 |
|
82.03 |
| National Weather Service |
91.2 |
80.0 |
82.6 |
83.0 |
|
84.20 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
68.8 |
94.6 |
83.8 |
91.9 |
|
84.78 |
| Jon Hobbs |
76.2 |
90.7 |
84.4 |
91.0 |
|
85.56 |
| David Kochevar |
73.0 |
95.6 |
80.7 |
95.9 |
|
86.30 |
| Justin Wittrock |
104.8 |
69.3 |
103.4 |
69.0 |
|
86.65 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
75.4 |
100.4 |
76.9 |
100.9 |
|
88.44 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
T |
P |
| GFS Extended MOS |
330 |
11 |
451 |
13 |
| Chris Schaffer |
343 |
0 |
653 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
368 |
9 |
558 |
9 |
| Average |
346 |
11 |
591 |
11 |
| Consensus MOS |
288 |
20 |
580 |
23 |
| National Weather Service |
405 |
11 |
609 |
14 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
287 |
26 |
617 |
23 |
| Jon Hobbs |
326 |
22 |
621 |
22 |
| David Kochevar |
309 |
27 |
596 |
27 |
| Justin Wittrock |
477 |
0 |
752 |
0 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
322 |
32 |
570 |
32 |
|