Presentation Rules Sites Schedule Forecasts Tournament Login

Ames, Day 7

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
GFS Extended MOS 77.0 80.0 59.7 82.0 74.65
Chris Schaffer 79.4 69.3 89.0 69.0 76.69
Jayson Prentice 84.2 78.1 75.2 78.0 78.86
Average 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.0 80.00
Consensus MOS 69.0 88.8 78.4 91.9 82.03
National Weather Service 91.2 80.0 82.6 83.0 84.20
Andrew Ansorge 68.8 94.6 83.8 91.9 84.78
Jon Hobbs 76.2 90.7 84.4 91.0 85.56
David Kochevar 73.0 95.6 80.7 95.9 86.30
Justin Wittrock 104.8 69.3 103.4 69.0 86.65
GFS Ensemble MOS 75.4 100.4 76.9 100.9 88.44


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
GFS Extended MOS 330 11 451 13
Chris Schaffer 343 0 653 0
Jayson Prentice 368 9 558 9
Average 346 11 591 11
Consensus MOS 288 20 580 23
National Weather Service 405 11 609 14
Andrew Ansorge 287 26 617 23
Jon Hobbs 326 22 621 22
David Kochevar 309 27 596 27
Justin Wittrock 477 0 752 0
GFS Ensemble MOS 322 32 570 32