 |
|
|
Iowa City, Day 2.5
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.44 |
0.08 |
-2.11 |
0.00 |
2.11 |
-1.69 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.26 |
| Eric Mykleby |
-0.18 |
-2.04 |
-2.11 |
0.00 |
0.75 |
0.26 |
0.69 |
1.94 |
-0.09 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.11 |
0.68 |
-1.51 |
0.00 |
1.23 |
-0.65 |
0.69 |
0.00 |
0.04 |
| Brandon Fisel |
0.04 |
-0.24 |
-2.11 |
0.00 |
-0.09 |
1.10 |
0.00 |
1.94 |
0.08 |
| Consensus MOS |
0.38 |
1.16 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.57 |
-0.52 |
0.69 |
0.00 |
0.14 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.56 |
0.92 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.10 |
0.71 |
-0.23 |
0.00 |
0.24 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.05 |
0.40 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.45 |
0.00 |
1.94 |
0.36 |
| Sho Kawazoe |
-0.07 |
0.12 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.44 |
1.10 |
0.69 |
1.94 |
0.53 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
-0.51 |
0.80 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.77 |
-0.13 |
-0.23 |
1.94 |
0.58 |
| NAM MOS |
1.93 |
1.88 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-0.26 |
-1.88 |
3.43 |
0.00 |
0.64 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.68 |
1.44 |
0.30 |
0.00 |
0.44 |
0.84 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.71 |
Raw Squared Error
|
12-00Z
| 00-12Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| GFS Extended MOS |
135 |
53 |
9 |
0 |
115 |
70 |
5 |
1 |
| Eric Mykleby |
149 |
0 |
9 |
0 |
84 |
100 |
8 |
2 |
| Average |
159 |
51 |
16 |
0 |
67 |
96 |
5 |
1 |
| National Weather Service |
153 |
68 |
11 |
0 |
95 |
86 |
8 |
1 |
| Brandon Fisel |
161 |
45 |
9 |
0 |
65 |
113 |
5 |
2 |
| Consensus MOS |
180 |
80 |
16 |
0 |
54 |
88 |
8 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
128 |
74 |
16 |
0 |
92 |
107 |
4 |
1 |
| Jon Hobbs |
162 |
61 |
16 |
0 |
67 |
103 |
5 |
2 |
| Sho Kawazoe |
155 |
54 |
16 |
0 |
77 |
113 |
8 |
2 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
131 |
71 |
16 |
0 |
130 |
94 |
4 |
2 |
| NAM MOS |
265 |
98 |
16 |
0 |
61 |
67 |
20 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
306 |
87 |
17 |
0 |
77 |
109 |
5 |
1 |
|
