 |
|
|
Davenport, Day 1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Justin Wittrock |
-0.22 |
-2.20 |
1.75 |
0.00 |
-0.03 |
-1.13 |
-1.14 |
0.00 |
-0.37 |
| Jon Hobbs |
1.20 |
-0.09 |
0.00 |
-1.66 |
-0.57 |
0.28 |
-1.14 |
0.00 |
-0.25 |
| Justin Hayward |
1.02 |
-0.03 |
-0.88 |
1.66 |
-0.09 |
-0.85 |
-1.14 |
0.00 |
-0.04 |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Nick Carletta |
0.08 |
0.29 |
0.88 |
0.00 |
0.32 |
0.35 |
-1.14 |
0.00 |
0.10 |
| National Weather Service |
-0.91 |
-0.65 |
0.00 |
-1.66 |
-0.41 |
0.85 |
1.14 |
2.42 |
0.10 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
-1.16 |
-0.29 |
1.75 |
-0.83 |
-0.41 |
-0.50 |
1.14 |
1.21 |
0.11 |
| Brandon Engelson |
-0.73 |
2.70 |
0.88 |
-0.83 |
-0.16 |
-0.57 |
-1.14 |
1.21 |
0.17 |
| Jeff Duda |
0.05 |
0.41 |
-0.88 |
0.00 |
0.22 |
-0.50 |
0.00 |
2.42 |
0.22 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
0.54 |
-0.15 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.34 |
0.42 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.39 |
| Consensus MOS |
1.15 |
0.06 |
-0.88 |
0.00 |
0.95 |
1.35 |
1.14 |
1.21 |
0.62 |
| GFS MOS |
1.81 |
0.29 |
0.00 |
0.83 |
1.48 |
1.27 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.71 |
| NAM MOS |
2.13 |
0.03 |
-1.75 |
1.66 |
1.20 |
1.56 |
1.14 |
1.21 |
0.90 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
0.90 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
2.43 |
2.20 |
1.14 |
2.42 |
1.15 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Justin Wittrock |
375 |
25 |
5 |
3 |
40 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
| Jon Hobbs |
493 |
97 |
3 |
1 |
23 |
21 |
0 |
0 |
| Justin Hayward |
478 |
99 |
2 |
5 |
38 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| Average |
393 |
100 |
3 |
3 |
41 |
17 |
1 |
0 |
| Nick Carletta |
400 |
110 |
4 |
3 |
51 |
22 |
0 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
317 |
78 |
3 |
1 |
28 |
29 |
2 |
2 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
296 |
90 |
5 |
2 |
28 |
10 |
2 |
1 |
| Brandon Engelson |
332 |
192 |
4 |
2 |
36 |
9 |
0 |
1 |
| Jeff Duda |
397 |
114 |
2 |
3 |
48 |
10 |
1 |
2 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
438 |
95 |
3 |
3 |
115 |
23 |
1 |
0 |
| Consensus MOS |
489 |
102 |
2 |
3 |
71 |
36 |
2 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
544 |
110 |
3 |
4 |
88 |
35 |
1 |
0 |
| NAM MOS |
571 |
101 |
1 |
5 |
79 |
39 |
2 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
468 |
103 |
3 |
3 |
118 |
48 |
2 |
2 |
|
