 |
|
|
Spencer, Day 2
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
| |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
Overall |
| Average |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Chris Schaffer |
0.54 |
-0.79 |
0.00 |
1.28 |
0.05 |
0.70 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.22 |
| Ryan Alliss |
-0.56 |
-0.07 |
0.00 |
1.28 |
0.36 |
-0.12 |
0.00 |
1.02 |
0.24 |
| Jon Hobbs |
0.04 |
0.79 |
2.73 |
1.28 |
-0.50 |
-0.16 |
-0.95 |
-1.02 |
0.28 |
| Jayson Prentice |
0.54 |
-1.12 |
0.00 |
1.28 |
0.85 |
0.77 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.29 |
| Nick Carletta |
1.77 |
1.07 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.08 |
-0.44 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.31 |
| Consensus MOS |
-0.40 |
1.12 |
1.36 |
1.28 |
-0.55 |
-0.21 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.33 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
0.04 |
-0.26 |
1.36 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.51 |
-0.95 |
2.05 |
0.35 |
| Jeff Duda |
0.46 |
-0.72 |
1.36 |
2.56 |
0.50 |
-0.16 |
-0.95 |
0.00 |
0.38 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
0.16 |
1.42 |
1.36 |
1.28 |
-0.56 |
-0.07 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.45 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
-0.83 |
1.47 |
2.73 |
1.28 |
0.59 |
-0.39 |
0.00 |
-1.02 |
0.48 |
| National Weather Service |
0.99 |
-0.42 |
0.00 |
2.56 |
0.14 |
0.58 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.48 |
| Brandon Fisel |
-0.24 |
-0.16 |
0.00 |
1.28 |
3.04 |
0.09 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.50 |
| GFS MOS |
-0.52 |
1.12 |
1.36 |
1.28 |
1.26 |
-0.23 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.53 |
| Eta MOS |
1.11 |
1.82 |
2.73 |
1.28 |
-1.02 |
0.26 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.77 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
2.72 |
0.89 |
1.36 |
2.56 |
2.22 |
-0.37 |
-0.95 |
-1.02 |
0.93 |
| Brandon Engelson |
1.67 |
1.96 |
1.36 |
0.00 |
1.47 |
1.58 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
1.01 |
| NGM MOS |
0.93 |
0.65 |
0.00 |
3.85 |
-0.12 |
0.56 |
0.00 |
3.07 |
1.12 |
| Justin Wittrock |
2.32 |
-1.21 |
1.36 |
1.28 |
0.74 |
3.90 |
3.79 |
1.02 |
1.65 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z
| 12-00Z
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| Average |
93 |
52 |
0 |
0 |
108 |
32 |
1 |
1 |
| Chris Schaffer |
120 |
18 |
0 |
1 |
111 |
62 |
1 |
1 |
| Ryan Alliss |
65 |
49 |
0 |
1 |
132 |
27 |
1 |
2 |
| Jon Hobbs |
95 |
86 |
2 |
1 |
75 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
| Jayson Prentice |
120 |
4 |
0 |
1 |
164 |
65 |
1 |
1 |
| Nick Carletta |
182 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
113 |
13 |
1 |
1 |
| Consensus MOS |
73 |
100 |
1 |
1 |
72 |
23 |
1 |
1 |
| Elizabeth Suess |
95 |
41 |
1 |
0 |
110 |
54 |
0 |
3 |
| Jeff Duda |
116 |
21 |
1 |
2 |
141 |
25 |
0 |
1 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
101 |
113 |
1 |
1 |
71 |
29 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
51 |
115 |
2 |
1 |
147 |
15 |
1 |
0 |
| National Weather Service |
143 |
34 |
0 |
2 |
117 |
57 |
1 |
1 |
| Brandon Fisel |
81 |
45 |
0 |
1 |
308 |
36 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS MOS |
67 |
100 |
1 |
1 |
191 |
22 |
1 |
1 |
| Eta MOS |
149 |
130 |
2 |
1 |
41 |
43 |
1 |
1 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
230 |
90 |
1 |
2 |
254 |
16 |
0 |
0 |
| Brandon Engelson |
177 |
136 |
1 |
0 |
205 |
100 |
1 |
1 |
| NGM MOS |
140 |
80 |
0 |
3 |
100 |
56 |
1 |
4 |
| Justin Wittrock |
210 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
157 |
200 |
5 |
2 |
|
