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Estherville, Day 7

Final Results

Normalized Scores

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P Overall
Jayson Prentice -1.59 -0.15 0.89 -0.25 -0.28
Average 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
National Weather Service -1.66 0.92 0.56 0.76 0.14
Justin Wittrock -0.39 -1.53 0.23 2.32 0.16
Chris Schaffer 0.45 -0.92 -0.10 1.63 0.27
Consensus MOS 0.48 0.00 0.58 0.04 0.27
Jeff Duda 0.19 1.69 0.87 -1.38 0.34
Jon Hobbs -0.11 1.53 0.80 -0.80 0.36
GFS Ensemble MOS 1.08 0.15 -0.17 0.47 0.38
GFS Extended MOS 0.15 0.15 1.35 0.00 0.41
Brandon Engelson 1.93 -0.92 2.88 0.00 0.97
Andrew Ansorge 0.47 1.07 2.70 -0.25 1.00


Raw Squared Error

00-12Z 12-00Z
Forecaster T P T P
Jayson Prentice 674 9 935 129
Average 889 10 844 136
National Weather Service 664 16 901 157
Justin Wittrock 836 0 867 200
Chris Schaffer 950 4 834 181
Consensus MOS 954 10 903 137
Jeff Duda 915 21 933 98
Jon Hobbs 874 20 926 114
GFS Ensemble MOS 1035 11 827 149
GFS Extended MOS 909 11 982 136
Brandon Engelson 1150 4 1138 136
Andrew Ansorge 953 17 1120 129