 |
|
|
Waterloo, Day 4/3/2/1
Final Results
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
|
Overall
|
| GFS Extended MOS |
67.6 |
83.2 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
70.9 |
77.6 |
64.7 |
80.0 |
|
75.48 |
| David Kochevar |
79.4 |
92.6 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
98.2 |
74.2 |
69.8 |
49.0 |
|
77.91 |
| Brandon Engelson |
70.4 |
76.8 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
72.6 |
97.3 |
74.9 |
80.0 |
|
78.99 |
| Jon Hobbs |
76.3 |
83.2 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
82.5 |
76.3 |
74.9 |
80.0 |
|
79.14 |
| Consensus MOS |
86.2 |
83.2 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
76.4 |
77.9 |
69.8 |
80.0 |
|
79.19 |
| Chris Schaffer |
84.2 |
76.8 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
79.8 |
94.3 |
74.9 |
64.5 |
|
79.32 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| Jayson Prentice |
84.7 |
76.8 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
84.7 |
91.7 |
80.0 |
64.5 |
|
80.30 |
| National Weather Service |
71.4 |
95.8 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.6 |
82.6 |
90.2 |
64.5 |
|
80.65 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
80.9 |
111.6 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
78.5 |
69.7 |
64.7 |
80.0 |
|
80.68 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
108.2 |
89.5 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
96.3 |
76.7 |
59.6 |
80.0 |
|
83.78 |
| Justin Wittrock |
81.4 |
76.8 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
104.2 |
102.8 |
95.3 |
64.5 |
|
85.63 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
T |
P |
Q |
S |
| GFS Extended MOS |
223 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
132 |
220 |
2 |
4 |
| David Kochevar |
299 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
261 |
189 |
3 |
2 |
| Brandon Engelson |
241 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
140 |
400 |
4 |
4 |
| Jon Hobbs |
279 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
187 |
208 |
4 |
4 |
| Consensus MOS |
343 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
158 |
223 |
3 |
4 |
| Chris Schaffer |
330 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
174 |
373 |
4 |
3 |
| Average |
303 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
175 |
242 |
5 |
4 |
| Jayson Prentice |
333 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
197 |
349 |
5 |
3 |
| National Weather Service |
248 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
178 |
266 |
7 |
3 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
309 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
168 |
148 |
2 |
4 |
| GFS Ensemble MOS |
484 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
252 |
212 |
1 |
4 |
| Justin Wittrock |
312 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
289 |
450 |
8 |
3 |
|
