 |
|
|
Marshalltown, Day 2
Normalized Scores
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
|
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
|
Overall
|
| Jon Hobbs |
77.1 |
86.0 |
84.6 |
70.4 |
82.7 |
69.3 |
|
78.36 |
| Consensus MOS |
73.4 |
73.1 |
89.2 |
77.1 |
80.7 |
78.8 |
|
78.73 |
| Chris Schaffer |
94.5 |
83.4 |
75.4 |
80.0 |
72.5 |
72.9 |
|
79.78 |
| Average |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.00 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
73.8 |
76.1 |
93.8 |
79.0 |
87.5 |
80.0 |
|
81.72 |
| National Weather Service |
104.0 |
83.0 |
80.0 |
75.2 |
69.8 |
80.0 |
|
81.99 |
| Eta MOS |
88.7 |
80.0 |
84.6 |
83.9 |
86.1 |
76.4 |
|
83.29 |
| Brandon Engelson |
100.7 |
84.7 |
80.0 |
103.1 |
69.1 |
71.7 |
|
84.89 |
| GFS MOS |
85.4 |
75.7 |
93.8 |
76.1 |
98.4 |
81.2 |
|
85.10 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
87.4 |
80.9 |
93.8 |
96.4 |
82.7 |
78.8 |
|
86.68 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
83.3 |
112.2 |
93.8 |
71.3 |
101.1 |
72.9 |
|
89.11 |
| Justin Wittrock |
93.6 |
79.1 |
112.3 |
90.6 |
78.6 |
108.4 |
|
93.79 |
Raw Squared Error
|
00-12Z |
12-00Z |
| Forecaster |
T |
P |
Q |
T |
P |
Q |
| Jon Hobbs |
24 |
85 |
3 |
42 |
91 |
4 |
| Consensus MOS |
15 |
55 |
4 |
49 |
88 |
12 |
| Chris Schaffer |
66 |
79 |
1 |
52 |
76 |
7 |
| Average |
31 |
71 |
2 |
52 |
87 |
13 |
| Eta/GFS MOS |
16 |
62 |
5 |
51 |
98 |
13 |
| National Weather Service |
89 |
78 |
2 |
47 |
72 |
13 |
| Eta MOS |
52 |
71 |
3 |
56 |
96 |
10 |
| Brandon Engelson |
81 |
82 |
2 |
76 |
71 |
6 |
| GFS MOS |
44 |
61 |
5 |
48 |
114 |
14 |
| GFS Extended MOS |
49 |
73 |
5 |
69 |
91 |
12 |
| Andrew Ansorge |
39 |
146 |
5 |
43 |
118 |
7 |
| Justin Wittrock |
64 |
69 |
9 |
63 |
85 |
37 |
|
