The topic of my research was the sensitivity of convective initiation based on environmental factors for the 12 June 2002 convective case. The tentative title of my project is Sensitivity of Convective Initiation for 12 June 2002 using 166m resolution WRF ARW.
My abstract will be placed here when it is complete.
This study is a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) modeling study of the development of convection during the International H2O Project (IHOP; Weckwerth et al. 2004) case study of 12 June 2002. In this case, IHOP researchers were attempting to gather high resolution measurments and observations of convective initiaiton mechanisms and phenomenon. For 12 June 2002, convection was forecasted to develop in the vicinity of a developing mesoscale low pressure (mesolow) in the eastern Oklahoma Panhandle. This mesolow also acted as a triple point due to it being the location of conjunction between a northwardly-propagating outflow boundary and a dryline. Convective initiation occurred a little after 2100 UTC. However, convection developed ~40 kilometers to the east in the vicinity of horizontal convective rolls (HCRs) in northwestern Oklahoma.
This information is summarized in my presentation I gave at the 25th Conference on Severe Local Storms (11-14 October 2010; Denver, Colorado). Here are my links to my section, PDF abstract and recorded presentation:
Also, on the My Section page, there is a link to my recorded presentation. You will have to download WebEx software to view it.
This is my abstract form for reference:
Schultz, J. T., C. J. Anderson, 2010: Sensitivity of convective initiation and subsequent convection based on environmental parameters using 500m resolution WRF ARW. Proc. 25th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 3A.1.