2-1: Climate System and Climate Predictability

Short Summaries of Recent Research

• Climate Surprises Triggered by Crossing Thresholds
  
  
• Melting Glaciers and Sea-Level Rise
  
  
• Cycles and Surprises
  
  

Websites

• Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
  
  
• NOAA home page
  
  

Additional References

• Weart,S. R., 2003: The Discovery of Global Warming. Harvard University Press. Cambridge, MA 240 pp.
  
  
• Forest, C. E., P. H. Stone, A. P. Sokolov, M. R. Allen, and M. D. Webster, 2002: Quantifying uncertainties in climate system properties with the use of recent climate observations. Science, 295, 113-117.
  
  
• Schmittner, A., M. Yoshimori, and A. J. Weaver, 2002: Instability of glacial climate in a model of the ocean-atmosphere-cryosphere system. Science, 295, 1489-1493.
  
  
• Houghton, J. T., L. G. Meira Filho, B. A. Callander N. Harris, A. Kattenberg, and K. Maskell, 1996: Climate Change 1995. The Science of Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, 233-235.
  
  
• Hou, Arthur Y. et al., 1995: Modulation of dynamic heating in the winter extratropics associated with the cross-equatorial Hadley circulation. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 52, 2609-2626.
  
  
• Kerr, R., 1994: Official forecasts pushed out to a year ahead. Science, 266, 1940-1941.
  
  
• Perry, T. S., 1993: Modeling the world's climate. IEEE Spectrum July, 33-41.
  
  
• Ojima, D., 1992: Modeling the Earth System: Papers arising from the 1990 OIES Global Change Institute, UCAR/Office for Interdisciplinary Earth Studies, 448 pages.
  
  
• Houghton, J.T., G.J. Jenkins, J.J. Ephraums, eds, 1990: 1990 Intergovernment Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, 73-77.
  
  
• Science and Nonscience Concerning Human-Caused Climate Warming
  J. D. Mahlman Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/ NOAA, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08542
  (Download Adobe Acrobat Reader) .