Is anyone else feeling serious storm deprived syndrome. This pattern is ridiculous...

Definitely. Pack it in. Put your materials away for the season. I doubt any major outbreaks will occur this season from this point on. People will just have to get lucky with mesoscale random set ups for tornadoes for the remainder of the season.

Dismantle your chase vehicle and sell the parts to get some money back on this year's lost investment (I stole that one from someone on the ST forums. It was too funny)

EDIT: I may have spoke too soon. (Yeah...right...seeing as this is the way the 384 hour GFS 500 mb plot has looked for every run over the past 2 weeks). At least if it does verify, that would be right during the beginning of my TWISTEX shift .

At least someone somewhere in the world is experiencing severe weather. It seems the action has been in Europe over the last few days. In fact, parts of France are under a "high risk" for violent thunderstorms today. Apparently, France has an analogy to USA's SPC: http://www.keraunos.org/prevision-orage-tornade-france-convective-outlook.htm

Well looks like you may be able to pack your gear back into the vehicle... The models are finally being fairly consistent in giving a few waves of energy and moisture return to the northern plains, leading to the potential two-day or longer chase setup across the northern plains for this weekend.

They had a good squall line on Monday in France ahead of strong cold front (30C in Germany to 15-20C in France). There were some discrete cells, but I couldn't find any single site radars so you were looking at all of France. And no Level2 data!

I hadn't seen the France version of the SPC. Thanks for posting that Jeff. Also, at the bottom of that page, there is a link for the European SPC, which has close ties to folks down in Norman. They've had three days of level 2 (=moderate) risk.

SPC's Day 4-8 outlook has lit up Christmas style, with D4, 5, and 6 day threats around Iowa! Yippee!

Looks like VORTEX2 may be gunning for this Saturday in the Midwest (maybe Iowa... ). We in Oklahoma are itching for some actions this coming Monday, if the prediction holds true.

Indeed, the pattern shift has finally arrived. Check out 12Z GFS at hour 228! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_228l.gif. Oh if that were to only verify...

The most recent GFS run is continuing to show a general pattern shift, but not a dramatic one. No real significant longwave troughs are progged to come through the middle of the country, although some southwest flow and speedier flow are indeed in the works. However, it looked like a more zonal flow will eventually take over, but with several shortwave impulses tracking right along the jet, which will be more or less over Iowa. This places Iowa in a great location for several convective outbreaks in the next few weeks from a shortwave train if the 12Z GFS run today verifies.

I'll take it..... better than the past two weeks of nothing. Although the 3.5 inches of rain on Tuesday was kinda interesting. I drove around the area looking for flash flooding but found none.

Polar vortex, northwest flow, and a rex block make Justin a dull boy.

This is true. However, this weekend looks potentially very very good somewhere in the midwest or plains. SPC has us in a day 4 outlook. There will be moisture, warm fronts, and good upper level flow!!!